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Projections of Demand for Healthcare in Ireland

From: 23 Feb 2018 - 14:00 To: 23 Feb 2018 - 16:00

Projections of Demand for Healthcare in Ireland

The seminar will present findings from the first output applying the Hippocrates model of healthcare demand and expenditure which has been developed at the ESRI as part of the Economics Visiting Speaker Series this Friday

DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS VISITING SPEAKER SERIES

 

Dr Maev-Ann Wren and Dr Conor Keegan from the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) will present a paper entiitled "Projections of Demand for Healthcare in Ireland, 2015-2030 - First Report from the Hippocrates Model"

  Date   Friday 23rd February                     
  Time   2:00 pm
  Venue   Room G.26, Aras na Laoi, UCC


Abstract

The seminar will present findings from the first output applying the Hippocrates model of healthcare demand and expenditure which has been developed at the ESRI. This was prepared by researchers at the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) for the ESRI Research Programme in Healthcare Reform, which is funded by the Department of Health. This research analyses utilisation of a wide range of health and social care services and projects demand for these services for the years from 2015 to 2030.

The main finding of this is that due to projected continued rapid population growth, demand for health and social care is projected to increase across all sectors in the years to 2030. Furthermore, the even greater increases in older age cohorts reflecting extended life expectancy will substantially increase demand for those forms of care which are particularly required by older people.

The ESRI Research Programme in Healthcare Reform was agreed between the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) and the Department of Health in July 2014. The broad objectives of the programme are to apply economic analysis to explore issues in relation to health services, health expenditure and population health, in order to inform the development of health policy and the Government’s healthcare reform agenda. The programme is overseen by a Steering Group comprising nominees of the ESRI and the Department of Health, which agrees its annual work programme. The Steering Group agreed in 2015 that this programme would include the development of a projection model of healthcare demand and expenditure and work on developing the model began in that year. The objectives of the development of the Hippocrates model are to supply a tool which will: inform health and social service planning in Ireland; inform financial planning for the healthcare system; inform planning for capacity, services and staffing; identify future demand pressures; and provide a framework in which to analyse the effects of potential system changes and reforms. Full report available here


About the speakers

Dr Maev-Ann Wren is joint Research Area Co-ordinator for Health and Quality of Life research at the ESRI. She is one of the lead researchers of a programme of research, funded by the Department of Health, to provide evidence for the reform of the healthcare system, which commenced in July 2014. She was lead author of two major publications from that programme, the ESRI Research Series Reports “An Examination of the Potential Costs of Universal Health Insurance in Ireland” (November 2015) and “Projections of Demand for Healthcare in Ireland, 2015-2030: First Report from the Hippocrates Model” (October 2017). Maev-Ann is also leading Health Research Board-funded projects examining alternative approaches to achieving universal healthcare in Ireland and the effects of non-acute service supply on acute hospital utilisation in Ireland.

Maev-Ann has a PhD in Economics from Trinity College Dublin (TCD), an MA in Economics from University College Dublin (UCD), and a BA in Economics and History from UCD. She worked as Special Advisor to Roisin Shortall T.D., Minister of State at the Department of Health with responsibility for Primary Care, from 2011 to 2012. With Professor A. Dale Tussing of Syracuse University, New York, she was commissioned in 2005 by the Irish Congress of Trade Unions to review the Irish health care system and recommend reform. Their study was subsequently published as Tussing and Wren (2006) How Ireland Cares, New Island, Dublin. Her earlier book, Wren M.A (2003) Unhealthy State, New Island, Dublin, is a much-cited reference on the Irish health care system. Maev-Ann worked as a journalist for The Irish Times from 1980 to 2004 in posts including Economics Editor, columnist, editorial writer and Assistant Editor.

Dr Conor Keegan is a Research Officer at the ESRI. He holds BA and MSc degrees in Economics, both awarded by TCD. In 2016 Conor completed his PhD in TCD investigating aspects of competition in the Irish private health insurance market. His main research interests include competition and consumer mobility in health insurance markets, healthcare financing and utilisation, and Irish health policy. Previously, Conor worked as a Statistical Analyst in the Institute from 2010 until 2012. He also worked as part of the Resilience Project in TCD which monitored and assessed the impact of the economic crisis on the Irish healthcare system. He is currently engaged in a research programme examining healthcare reform in Ireland.

All very welcome to attend.  

For more information, contact the Department of Economics

 

 

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